Strategy
Win rates from the leak-free backtest.
Settings
Staking
Each simulated season draws its own win rate from what the backtest sample size can actually tell us, rather than trusting it exactly.
Expected outcome
Return per bet
–
Average, per unit staked
Season profit
–
Average outcome
Break-even win rate
–
1 ÷ odds
Your edge
–
Win rate minus break-even
Simulated seasons
Chance of profit
–
Seasons ending up
Typical final bankroll
–
Median season
Bad season
–
1 in 20 end lower
Halved bankroll
–
Fell to half at some point
One example season, bet by bet
| Bet | Stake | Result | P/L | Bankroll |
|---|